Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SFDpeers & supply-chain relationships

SFD fair-value estimate

SFD earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:46 PM ETVol 529.5K · 3-mo avg 2.03M

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD)

SFDSmithfield Foods, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$19.42
near a support level · Nov 9
$29.03
near the 52-week high · midpoint $29.03 · Nov 9
±$0.09
±0.4% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume62% below normal0.38× its 20-day average
Past year's range$17.91 – $29.81lowest to highest price
From its peaknot on file
Gain vs. risk7.64 to 1$7.64 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$18.16the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$22.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)57.1fires under 35 · fires near $16.85
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.7× next year8.5× last 12 months
Cash it generates9.4%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 41% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
57.1
fires under 35 · fires near $16.85
vs 50-day
✓
$19.39
at the line
Bollinger
●
$17.74
no lower pierce · fires near $17.58
VWAP 20
●
$18.68
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $18.66
Entry level
✓
$19.42
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$22.50
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.19
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.38×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
12.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.63
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-03-23
in 90 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.31
ex-date 2026-11-12