RXO, Inc. (RXO) — Trucking & Freight. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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RXOpeers & supply-chain relationships

RXO fair-value estimate

RXO earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.97M · 3-mo avg 1.81M

RXO, Inc. (RXO)

RXORXO, Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 9/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$19.83
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$22.21
center $22.21 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.55
7.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.14×
52-week range$10.43 – $29.90
Below high since 2022-39.3% · $32.82 high
Risk / reward1.20 : 1
Plan stop$17.85
Max pain$20.00 options cluster
RSI 1442.2 fires under 35 · fires near $18.64
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple32.6× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-0.2% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
42.2
fires under 35 · fires near $18.64
vs 50-day
✓
$21.95
below the line
Bollinger
●
$18.45
no lower pierce · fires near $18.11
VWAP 20
✓
$20.17
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$19.83
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$17.50
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context✓
+0.13
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.14×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
11.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.99
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file