Transocean Ltd. (RIG) — $5.72 +8.75%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

RIGpeers & supply-chain relationships

RIG fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 59.38M · Avg 36.96M
RIGTransocean Ltd.$5.72+8.75%Pre-market$5.69-0.52%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

0 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
0 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$5.59
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$7.66
center $7.66 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
~85% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.61× · 59.38M vs 36.96M avg
52-week range$2.76 – $7.66
Below high since 2015-75.6% · $23.47 high
Risk / reward1 : 3.7
Plan stop$5.03
Max pain
RSI 1462.3 fires under 35 · fires near $4.62
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$5.72
$4.60 · -19.5%-19.5%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.5% · $6.20+8.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers0 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
62.3
fires under 35 · fires near $4.62
vs 50-day
$5.41
above the line · fires near $5.45
Bollinger
$4.89
no lower pierce · fires near $4.92
VWAP 20
$5.23
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $5.23
Entry level
$5.59
level below · fires near $5.64
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.06
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.61×
elevated versus recent average
Short int.Static
24.1%
24.1% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.24
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 77 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed