Transocean Ltd. (RIG) — Oil & Gas Drilling. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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RIG fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 37.36M · 3-mo avg 42.56M

Transocean Ltd. (RIG)

RIGTransocean Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$5.35
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$5–6
center $5.52 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.85×
52-week range$3.03 – $7.66
Below high since 2015-77.1% · $23.47 high
Risk / reward0.24 : 1
Plan stop$4.80
Max pain—
RSI 1442.6 fires under 35 · fires near $5.00
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple19.0× fwd · trailing not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 58% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
42.6
fires under 35 · fires near $5.00
vs 50-day
✓
$5.56
below the line
Bollinger
●
$5.26
no lower pierce · fires near $5.23
VWAP 20
✓
$5.72
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$5.35
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.05
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.85×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
30.3%
30.3% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.24
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file