Helmerich & Payne, Inc. (HP) — Oil & Gas Drilling. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 718.5K · 3-mo avg 1.21M

Helmerich & Payne, Inc. (HP)

HPHelmerich & Payne, Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
-4net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 54/100 · Nov 10
$35.52
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 10
$37–38
near a resistance level and the 200-day average · midpoint $37.21 · Nov 10
±$4.40
±12.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 11% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 11% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume42% below normal0.58× its 20-day average
Past year's range$24.45 – $48.17lowest to highest price
From its peak59.5% belowpeak $88.11, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.31 to 1$0.31 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$30.85the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$37.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)39.5fires under 35 · fires near $34.19
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit23.4× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Cash it generates3.3%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
39.5
fires under 35 · fires near $34.19
vs 50-day
✓
$39.95
below the line
Bollinger
●
$33.84
no lower pierce · fires near $33.33
VWAP 20
✓
$38.54
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$35.52
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$32.50
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-0.44
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.58×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
7.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.06
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-18
in 6 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.25
ex-date 2026-11-18