Noble Corporation plc (NE) — $43.55 +6.82%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

NEpeers & supply-chain relationships

NE fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.86M · Avg 1.57M
NENoble Corporation plc$43.55+6.82%Pre-market$43.77+0.51%

WAIT.

Not a dip-buy setup — the evidence leans bearish.

The net signal reads -3 — more evidence points down than up, so buying this dip is catching a falling stock, not finding value. 1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-3net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$43.33
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$54–55
center $54.39 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~96% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.18× · 1.86M vs 1.57M avg
52-week range$26.20 – $54.98
Below high since 2021-21.3% · $55.34 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.6
Plan stop$39.05
Max pain
RSI 1457.3 fires under 35 · fires near $36.33
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$43.55
$36.10 · -17.1%-17.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+7.8% · $46.93+7.8%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
57.3
fires under 35 · fires near $36.33
vs 50-day
$42.00
above the line · fires near $42.39
Bollinger
$39.01
no lower pierce · fires near $38.62
VWAP 20
$41.41
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $41.36
Entry level
$43.33
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.17
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.18×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
11.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.69
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
27 Oct 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 76 days
Next dividend
4.59% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed