Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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POSTpeers & supply-chain relationships

POST fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 723.1K · 3-mo avg 982.4K

Post Holdings, Inc. (POST)

POSTPost Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 62/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$72.78
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$82–83
center $82.92 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.73×
52-week range$73.15 – $117.28
Below high since 2015-41.9% · $125.84 high
Risk / reward2.13 : 1
Plan stop$68.56
Max pain—
RSI 1429.7 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple10.6× fwd · 13.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past23rd pctile · 16.4× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 70% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
29.7
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$83.10
below the line
Bollinger
●
$72.17
no lower pierce · fires near $71.86
VWAP 20
✓
$79.66
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$72.78
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.41
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.73×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
16.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.11
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-19
in 40 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file