Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

POSTpeers & supply-chain relationships

POST fair-value estimate

POST earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 623.5K · 3-mo avg 895.5K

Post Holdings, Inc. (POST)

POSTPost Holdings, Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$81.84
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$117–118
near the 52-week high · midpoint $117.28 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Low
58% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.7× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume59% below normal0.41× its 20-day average
Past year's range$71.45 – $117.28lowest to highest price
From its peak34.6% belowpeak $125.84, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk5.35 to 1$5.35 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$75.21the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)55.4fires under 35 · fires near $71.07
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit11.4× next year14.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 32%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 16.3×

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
55.4
fires under 35 · fires near $71.07
vs 50-day
●
$78.69
above the line · fires near $79.37
Bollinger
●
$75.38
no lower pierce · fires near $74.31
VWAP 20
●
$81.30
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $81.27
Entry level
✓
$81.84
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.59
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.41×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
16.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.57
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-19
in 7 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file