Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. (OTLK) — $1.15 +12.75%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 11:05 AM ETVol 10.28M · Avg 22.19M
OTLKOutlook Therapeutics, Inc.$1.15+12.75%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -6 — more evidence points down than up — and the balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band, 3 accounting red flags are raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-6net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 0 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
model abstained · segment micro
Target exit
model abstained · segment micro
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~99% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.46× · 10.28M vs 22.19M avg
52-week range$0.16 – $3.39
Below high since 2016-99.9% · $954.53 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop
Max pain
RSI 1448.8 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags3 review
What-if price
$1.15
$0.92 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+32.3% · $1.52+32.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
48.8
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$1.27
below the line
Bollinger
$0.72
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
$1.21
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
not on file
Put wall
not on file
MACD
-0.02
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.46×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
6.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.19
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 4 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
13 Aug 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 1 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed