Aptiv PLC (APTV) — $49.81 +0.52%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

APTVpeers & supply-chain relationships

APTV fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.55M · Avg 3.67M
APTVAptiv PLC$49.81+0.52%

STRIKE.

The triggers line up — but a falling knife cuts the strike.

3 of 5 entry triggers are firing and an entry level is on file — on triggers alone this would read STRIKE. But the stock is still dropping hard on heavy volume with no support underneath, and a live slide overrides the triggers: setups look their most tempting halfway down. The cut stands until the selling settles.

QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
3 of 5 aligned — not yet
The triggers line up, but a falling knife cuts the strike — entry vetoed until the slide stabilizes.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileRiskFalling-knife phase · 85/100 · was 98 on Aug 61/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$49.56
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$60–61
center $60.55 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
High
~86% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.4× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.97× · 3.55M vs 3.67M avg
52-week range$46.16 – $88.93
Below high since 2015-73.1% · $185.18 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.1
Plan stop$44.27
Max pain
RSI 1436.1 fires under 35 · fires near $49.32
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$49.81
$44.17 · -11.3%-11.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+10.1% · $54.85+10.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
36.1
fires under 35 · fires near $49.32
vs 50-day
$60.75
below the line
Bollinger
$46.68
no lower pierce · fires near $45.82
VWAP 20
$52.47
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$49.56
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
-0.79
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.97×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
7.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.52
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
29 Oct 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 78 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed