Old National Bancorp (ONB) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.37M · 3-mo avg 4.23M

Old National Bancorp (ONB)

ONBOld National Bancorploading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$25.36
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$26.01
center $26.01 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.96
7.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.59× the norm · 33% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.08×
52-week range$19.39 – $27.36
Below high since 2015-6.8% · $27.36 high
Risk / reward0.49 : 1
Plan stop$24.43
Max pain$25.00 options cluster
RSI 1449.0 fires under 35 · fires near $24.59
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.8× fwd · 11.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past54th pctile · 12.5× median
Price / book1.15×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
49.0
fires under 35 · fires near $24.59
vs 50-day
✓
$25.99
below the line
Bollinger
●
$24.81
no lower pierce · fires near $24.68
VWAP 20
●
$25.42
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $25.42
Entry level
✓
$25.36
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$30.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.01
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.08×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.47
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-21
in 18 sessions
Next dividend
2.28% yld
no ex-date on file