National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) — Integrated Oil & Gas. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NFGpeers & supply-chain relationships

NFG fair-value estimate

NFG earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 10:16 AM ETVol 46.4K · 3-mo avg 856.4K

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)

NFGNational Fuel Gas Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 8 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 52/100 · Nov 9
$73.77
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 9
$79–80
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $79.06 · Nov 9
±$4.24
±5.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Low
61% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.8× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume29% below normal0.71× its 20-day average
Past year's range$73.68 – $97.06lowest to highest price
From its peak23.6% belowpeak $97.06, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.95 to 1$0.95 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$70.04the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)34.1washed out
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit9.8× next year10.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 25%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 11.8×
Cash it generates2.7%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
34.1
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$79.26
below the line
Bollinger
●
$74.01
no lower pierce · fires near $73.79
VWAP 20
✓
$78.44
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$73.77
level below · fires near $74.48
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.67
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.71×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.87
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 52 sessions
Next dividend
2.97% yld
no ex-date on file
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