National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) — Integrated Oil & Gas. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NFGpeers & supply-chain relationships

NFG fair-value estimate

NFG earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 720.9K · 3-mo avg 688.9K

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)

NFGNational Fuel Gas Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 8 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$78.60
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$81–82
center $81.63 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.04
5.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.94×
52-week range$75.17 – $97.06
Below high since 2015-18.6% · $97.06 high
Risk / reward0.69 : 1
Plan stop$75.17
Max pain$75.00 options cluster
RSI 1437.9 fires under 35 · fires near $78.23
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple10.5× fwd · 11.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past33rd pctile · 12.5× median
Free cash flow yield2.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
37.9
fires under 35 · fires near $78.23
vs 50-day
✓
$81.75
below the line
Bollinger
●
$78.08
no lower pierce · fires near $77.80
VWAP 20
✓
$81.06
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$78.60
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$80.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.37
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.94×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.71
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.56
ex-date 2026-09-30
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