National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) — $81.51 −0.38%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

NFGpeers & supply-chain relationships

NFG fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 7, 2026 · 1:57 PM ETVol 103.7K · Avg 767.1K
NFGNational Fuel Gas Company$81.51-0.38%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 8 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$81.41
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$82–83
center $82.53 · basis · daily pivot + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.39
4.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~58% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.14× · 103.7K vs 767.1K avg
52-week range$75.17 – $97.06
Below high since 2015-15.7% · $97.06 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$77.22
Max pain$80.00 options cluster
RSI 1454.7 fires under 35 · fires near $74.62
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$81.51
$74.26 · -8.9%-8.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.2% · $84.90+4.2%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
54.7
fires under 35 · fires near $74.62
vs 50-day
$78.82
above the line · fires near $79.56
Bollinger
$79.26
no lower pierce · fires near $78.84
VWAP 20
$81.33
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $81.33
Entry level
$81.41
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$80.00
OI strike below · fires near $80.38
MACD
-0.27
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.14×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
6.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.92
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 84 days
Next dividend
2.72% yld
no ex-date on file
Appears in
prices 15-min delayed