Chevron Corporation (CVX) — $197.11 +0.23%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CVXpeers & supply-chain relationships

CVX fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 12, 2026 · 9:46 AM ETVol 2.62M · Avg 8.95M
CVXChevron Corporation$197.11+0.23%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.9× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$195.68
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-12
Target exit zone
$198–201
center $199.38 · basis · bb upper + call wall + daily pivot + round · as of 2026-08-12
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.22
0.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.29× · 2.62M vs 8.95M avg
52-week range$146.49 – $214.71
Below high since 2015-8.4% · $214.71 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$182.63
Max pain$190.00 options cluster
RSI 1461.1 fires under 35 · fires near $167.66
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$197.11
$166.71 · -15.4%-15.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+0.1% · $197.33+0.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
61.1
fires under 35 · fires near $167.66
vs 50-day
$183.37
above the line · fires near $184.95
Bollinger
$182.51
no lower pierce · fires near $181.34
VWAP 20
$190.62
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $190.46
Entry level
$195.68
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$185.00
OI strike below · fires near $185.90
MACD
+0.13
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.29×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
30 Oct 2026
· in 78 days
Next dividend
USD 1.78
ex-date 2026-08-19
prices 15-min delayed