The Marzetti Company (MZTI) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:32 PM ETVol 139.5K · 3-mo avg 408.7K

The Marzetti Company (MZTI)

MZTIThe Marzetti Companyloading…
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QTick signal
-4net
0 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 25/100 · Nov 9
$108.39
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$120–122
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $121.23 · Nov 9
±$0.12
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume22% below normal0.78× its 20-day average
Past year's range$97.00 – $176.26lowest to highest price
From its peak50.7% belowpeak $221.10, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.10 to 1$1.10 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$98.47the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$100.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)54.4fires under 35 · fires near $98.38
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit15.2× next year17.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 8%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 33.7×
Cash it generates6.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 39% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
54.4
fires under 35 · fires near $98.38
vs 50-day
●
$104.39
above the line · fires near $105.35
Bollinger
●
$100.88
no lower pierce · fires near $99.61
VWAP 20
●
$107.64
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $107.54
Entry level
✓
$108.39
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$90.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.33
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.78×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
10.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.96
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 56 sessions
Next dividend
3.66% yld
no ex-date on file