Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) — Entertainment Content. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MSGE fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 385.7K · 3-mo avg 413.4K

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE)

MSGEMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$78.69
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$84–86
center $85.00 · basis · call wall + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.62
7.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.82×
52-week range$41.65 – $90.41
Below high since 2023-12.5% · $90.41 high
Risk / reward1.06 : 1
Plan stop$73.49
Max pain$70.00 options cluster
RSI 1450.6 fires under 35 · fires near $71.58
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple27.2× fwd · 57.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past94th pctile · 25.7× median
Free cash flow yield2.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
50.6
fires under 35 · fires near $71.58
vs 50-day
✓
$78.85
at the line
Bollinger
●
$75.41
no lower pierce · fires near $74.74
VWAP 20
●
$78.71
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $78.69
Entry level
✓
$78.69
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$50.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.07
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.82×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file