Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) — Residential REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MRPpeers & supply-chain relationships

MRP fair-value estimate

MRP earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.86M · 3-mo avg 1.33M

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP)

MRPMillrose Properties, Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 62/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$26.92
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$29–30
center $29.41 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.22
8.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 8% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 8% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.14×
52-week range$26.30 – $34.51
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward1.00 : 1
Plan stop$24.98
Max pain$30.00 options cluster
RSI 1430.2 washed out
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.4× fwd · 9.5× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield81.4% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 44% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
30.2
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$29.45
below the line
Bollinger
●
$26.71
no lower pierce · fires near $26.55
VWAP 20
✓
$29.18
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$26.92
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$30.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.38
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.14×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.83
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-11
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.77
ex-date 2026-10-05
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