Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) — Residential REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:02 PM ETVol 575.5K · 3-mo avg 2.19M

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP)

MRPMillrose Properties, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$26.48
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 1.7% below it
$27.20
near a resistance level and the 200-day average · midpoint $27.20 · Nov 9
±$0.23
±0.9% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume61% below normal0.39× its 20-day average
Past year's range$21.07 – $33.12lowest to highest price
From its peaknot on file
Gain vs. risk0.32 to 1$0.32 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$24.23the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$25.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)58.6fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit8.0× next year9.1× last 12 months
Cash it generates88.8%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 39% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
58.6
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
✓
$25.82
at the line
Bollinger
●
$20.88
no lower pierce · fires near $20.23
VWAP 20
●
$24.08
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $24.07
Entry level
✓
$26.48
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.46
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.39×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
7.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.00
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-25
in 72 sessions
Next dividend
12.14% yld
no ex-date on file