Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) — Biotechnology. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 16.30M · 3-mo avg 21.83M

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)

MRNAModerna, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 11 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$250.69
near a support level · Nov 6
$264–274
near a resistance level, the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $269.20 · Nov 6
±$40.62
±16.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume2% below normal0.98× its 20-day average
Past year's range$22.28 – $267.50lowest to highest price
From its peak49.2% belowpeak $500.65, highest since 2018
Gain vs. risk0.26 to 1$0.26 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$196.54the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$225.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)63.7fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profitno profit to compare
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 6.4×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates-2.1%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 5.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
63.7
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$191.85
above the line · fires near $192.45
Bollinger
●
$191.36
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$221.08
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $220.76
Entry level
●
$250.69
level below · fires near $253.01
Put wall
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—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.42
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.98×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$23.65
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-06
reported today · reaction session open
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file