Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL) — Biotechnology. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 150.8K · 3-mo avg 335.1K

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL)

MDGLMadrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 9/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$510.64
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$517–525
center $520.86 · basis · call wall + daily pivot + round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$34.40
6.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.70×
52-week range$393.61 – $615.00
Below high since 2015-16.6% · $615.00 high
Risk / reward0.11 : 1
Plan stop$477.00
Max pain$500.00 options cluster
RSI 1444.3 fires under 35 · fires near $489.47
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple53.7× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-1.6% · burning cash

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
44.3
fires under 35 · fires near $489.47
vs 50-day
✓
$527.00
below the line
Bollinger
●
$514.91
no lower pierce · fires near $514.19
VWAP 20
✓
$532.23
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$510.64
level below · fires near $515.70
Put wall
●
$500.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-2.87
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.70×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
16.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$16.82
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file