Mechanics Bancorp (MCHB) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 417.6K · 3-mo avg 561.0K

Mechanics Bancorp (MCHB)

MCHBMechanics Bancorploading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 24/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$15.09
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$15.91
center $15.91 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.59× the norm · 33% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.83×
52-week range$12.82 – $17.38
Below high since 2015-73.8% · $57.84 high
Risk / reward0.85 : 1
Plan stop$14.29
Max pain—
RSI 1437.6 fires under 35 · fires near $15.10
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple12.8× fwd · 11.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past89th pctile · 7.1× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
37.6
fires under 35 · fires near $15.10
vs 50-day
✓
$15.90
below the line
Bollinger
●
$14.97
no lower pierce · fires near $14.91
VWAP 20
✓
$15.47
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$15.09
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.03
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.83×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
9.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.29
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
10.28% yld
no ex-date on file