Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) — Building Products & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MAIR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 657.5K · 3-mo avg 2.71M

Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR)

MAIRMadison Air Solutions Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$24.40
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 3.7% below it
$44–45
near the 52-week high · midpoint $44.50 · Nov 9
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not on file
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
not on file
Trading volume38% below normal0.62× its 20-day average
Past year's range$21.96 – $44.50lowest to highest price
From its peaknot on file
Gain vs. risk5.55 to 1$5.55 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$20.77the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)53.3fires under 35 · fires near $17.74
Price vs. profit19.9× next year47.9× last 12 months
Cash it generates3.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
53.3
fires under 35 · fires near $17.74
vs 50-day
✓
$24.22
below the line
Bollinger
●
$21.95
no lower pierce · fires near $21.66
VWAP 20
●
$23.31
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $23.31
Entry level
✓
$24.40
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.01
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.62×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
7.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.55
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-25
in 72 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file