Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) — $31.78 +4.80%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

MAIRpeers & supply-chain relationships

MAIR fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 952.1K · Avg 3.99M
MAIRMadison Air Solutions Corporation$31.78+4.80%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
2 of 5 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$30.18
basis · low 52w + pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$35–36
center $35.17 · basis · round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
not on file
Pullback risk
Elevated
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
not on file
Volume vs 20-day avg0.24× · 952.1K vs 3.99M avg
52-week range$31.00 – $44.25
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward1 : 1.1
Plan stop$25.83
Max pain
RSI 1436.5 fires under 35 · fires near $31.47
Forensic flags0 clean
What-if price
$31.78
$26.15 · -17.7%-17.7%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+13.0% · $35.93+13.0%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
36.5
fires under 35 · fires near $31.47
vs 50-day
$36.46
below the line
Bollinger
$28.22
no lower pierce · fires near $27.41
VWAP 20
$32.36
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$30.18
level below · fires near $30.45
Put wall
not on file
MACD
not on file
RVolStatic
0.24×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
5.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.07
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
11 Aug 2026
· in -1 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed