Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) — Building Products & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CARRpeers & supply-chain relationships

CARR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.95M · 3-mo avg 6.45M

Carrier Global Corporation (CARR)

CARRCarrier Global Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionPCE inflation days · ~8% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 21/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$56.09
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$60–61
center $60.50 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.72
4.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.00×
52-week range$50.24 – $76.76
Below high since 2020-32.3% · $83.32 high
Risk / reward0.87 : 1
Plan stop$51.62
Max pain$57.00 options cluster
RSI 1443.8 fires under 35 · fires near $54.72
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple17.0× fwd · 40.3× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield4.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
43.8
fires under 35 · fires near $54.72
vs 50-day
✓
$60.75
below the line
Bollinger
●
$53.10
no lower pierce · fires near $52.39
VWAP 20
●
$56.20
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $56.19
Entry level
✓
$56.09
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$55.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context✓
+0.05
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.00×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.78
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
1.70% yld
no ex-date on file