Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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LOAR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 636.6K · 3-mo avg 705.4K

Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)

LOARLoar Holdings Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 39/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$64.28
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$67–68
center $67.46 · basis · daily pivot + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.12
9.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 7% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 7% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.87×
52-week range$53.15 – $83.43
Below high since 2024-34.4% · $99.67 high
Risk / reward0.42 : 1
Plan stop$59.23
Max pain$60.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.6 fires under 35 · fires near $63.25
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple40.2× fwd · 91.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past20th pctile · 103.4× median
Free cash flow yield1.6% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
41.6
fires under 35 · fires near $63.25
vs 50-day
✓
$70.03
below the line
Bollinger
●
$61.04
no lower pierce · fires near $60.08
VWAP 20
✓
$66.91
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$64.28
level below · fires near $64.88
Put wall
●
$40.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context✓
+0.09
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.87×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
15.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.53
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-12
in 34 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file