Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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LOAR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:46 PM ETVol 186.7K · 3-mo avg 883.0K

Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)

LOARLoar Holdings Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$77.98
near a support level · Nov 9
$82–83
near the 52-week high · midpoint $82.49 · Nov 9
±$7.93
±10.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
96% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume78% below normal0.22× its 20-day average
Past year's range$53.15 – $82.49lowest to highest price
From its peak21.2% belowpeak $99.67, highest since 2024
Gain vs. risk0.35 to 1$0.35 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$67.77the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$65.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)75.7overbought
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit47.0× next year124.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 64%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 101.2×
Cash it generates1.4%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 22% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
75.7
overbought
vs 50-day
●
$64.88
above the line · fires near $65.26
Bollinger
●
$55.35
no lower pierce · fires near $55.22
VWAP 20
●
$67.00
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $66.88
Entry level
✓
$77.98
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$55.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+1.86
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.22×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
17.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.74
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-25
in 72 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file