LKQ Corporation (LKQ) — Auto Parts & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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LKQ fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 3.46M · 3-mo avg 3.23M

LKQ Corporation (LKQ)

LKQLKQ Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-4net
0 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 44/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$22.89
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$24–25
center $24.50 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.77
7.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.71×
52-week range$21.17 – $37.13
Below high since 2015-61.4% · $59.66 high
Risk / reward0.65 : 1
Plan stop$21.43
Max pain$25.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.9 fires under 35 · fires near $22.69
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple7.5× fwd · 12.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past7th pctile · 13.2× median
Free cash flow yield14.5% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 1.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
38.9
fires under 35 · fires near $22.69
vs 50-day
✓
$24.59
below the line
Bollinger
●
$22.46
no lower pierce · fires near $22.23
VWAP 20
✓
$24.28
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$22.89
level below · fires near $23.11
Put wall
✓
$25.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.12
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.71×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
5.15% yld
no ex-date on file