Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) — IT Services & Consulting. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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LDOS fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 759.0K · 3-mo avg 1.26M

Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS)

LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$132.02
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$138–140
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $139.04 · Nov 6
±$0.30
±0.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume29% below normal0.71× its 20-day average
Past year's range$98.86 – $205.77lowest to highest price
From its peak35.5% belowpeak $205.77, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.23 to 1$0.23 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$121.60the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$170.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)55.4fires under 35 · fires near $119.69
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.8× next year12.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 9%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 17.7×
Cash it generates9.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 27% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
55.4
fires under 35 · fires near $119.69
vs 50-day
●
$128.95
above the line · fires near $130.01
Bollinger
●
$117.37
no lower pierce · fires near $114.38
VWAP 20
●
$132.64
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $132.52
Entry level
●
$132.02
level below · fires near $133.25
Put wall
✓
$155.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context✓
+2.13
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.71×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-09
in 62 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.43
ex-date 2026-12-15
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