International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) — IT Services & Consulting. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.14M · 3-mo avg 8.41M

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM)

IBMInternational Business Machines Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-3net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionPCE inflation days · ~9% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$224.38
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$228–231
center $229.56 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$13.03
5.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.75×
52-week range$199.19 – $332.46
Below high since 2015-32.2% · $332.46 high
Risk / reward0.25 : 1
Plan stop$209.15
Max pain$230.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.3 fires under 35 · fires near $215.57
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple17.2× fwd · 20.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past9th pctile · 25.1× median
Free cash flow yield5.4% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
41.3
fires under 35 · fires near $215.57
vs 50-day
✓
$230.16
below the line
Bollinger
●
$223.04
no lower pierce · fires near $222.25
VWAP 20
✓
$235.60
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$224.38
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$222.50
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-1.39
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.75×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.62
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-21
in 18 sessions
Next dividend
3.00% yld
no ex-date on file