KeyCorp (KEY) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 11:45 AM ETVol 15.79M · 3-mo avg 11.43M

KeyCorp (KEY)

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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 11/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$20.51
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$21.98
center $21.98 · basis · call wall + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.99
4.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 6% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 56% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 6% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.09×
52-week range$16.47 – $24.07
Below high since 2015-26.4% · $27.98 high
Risk / reward1.39 : 1
Plan stop$19.63
Max pain$21.00 options cluster
RSI 1437.5 fires under 35 · fires near $20.48
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple9.6× fwd · 12.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past48th pctile · 11.6× median
Price / book1.10×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
37.5
fires under 35 · fires near $20.48
vs 50-day
✓
$21.98
below the line
Bollinger
●
$20.07
no lower pierce · fires near $19.92
VWAP 20
✓
$21.27
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$20.51
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$22.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.10
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.09×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.44
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-20
in 17 sessions
Next dividend
3.98% yld
no ex-date on file