Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) — Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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KDP fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 6.73M · 3-mo avg 13.66M

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)

KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressCautionPCE inflation days · ~37% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 8/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$31.27
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 0.9% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$33.82
center $33.82 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.48
4.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.19×
52-week range$24.88 – $33.82
Below high since 2015-75.2% · $126.85 high
Risk / reward1.44 : 1
Plan stop$29.50
Max pain$30.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.9 fires under 35 · fires near $28.72
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple12.8× fwd · 32.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past78th pctile · 24.5× median
Free cash flow yield3.5% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
47.9
fires under 35 · fires near $28.72
vs 50-day
$31.16
at the line
Bollinger
$31.13
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$31.98
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$31.27
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$32.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.09
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.19×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.64
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-26
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.23
ex-date 2026-09-28
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