PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) — Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PEP fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.71M · 3-mo avg 8.93M

PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)

PEPPepsiCo, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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$140.55
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$143–145
near the top of its usual range, a resistance level and the 200-day average · midpoint $143.91 · Nov 6
±$6.71
±4.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume11% below normal0.89× its 20-day average
Past year's range$123.47 – $171.48lowest to highest price
From its peak28.1% belowpeak $196.71, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.30 to 1$0.30 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$132.71the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$135.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)62.5fires under 35 · fires near $120.08
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit16.4× next year17.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 4%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 25.7×
Cash it generates4.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 29% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
62.5
fires under 35 · fires near $120.08
vs 50-day
●
$133.18
above the line · fires near $134.25
Bollinger
●
$125.47
no lower pierce · fires near $123.90
VWAP 20
●
$134.97
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $134.94
Entry level
✓
$140.55
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$135.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context✓
+0.97
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.89×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.43
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 58 sessions
Next dividend
4.19% yld
no ex-date on file