PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) — Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PEPpeers & supply-chain relationships

PEP fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:57 PM ETVol 8.05M · 3-mo avg 8.12M

PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)

PEPPepsiCo, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-4net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionPCE inflation days · ~19% bigger swingsCautionHeavy selling · 62/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$132.99
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 1.9% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$137–138
center $137.53 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.41
3.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
0.93× the norm · 62% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: hot selling
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.37×
52-week range$129.82 – $171.48
Below high since 2015-32.1% · $196.71 high
Risk / reward1.19 : 1
Plan stop$129.17
Max pain$140.00 options cluster
RSI 1434.7 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple14.5× fwd · 17.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past0th pctile · 25.8× median
Free cash flow yield4.3% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 72% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
34.7
washed out
vs 50-day
$137.57
below the line
Bollinger
$133.47
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$138.22
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$132.99
below the model level
Put wall
$130.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.77
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.37×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.91
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-08
in 14 sessions
Next dividend
4.54% yld
no ex-date on file