Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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INGRpeers & supply-chain relationships

INGR fair-value estimate

INGR earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 736.9K · 3-mo avg 666.4K

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR)

INGRIngredion Incorporatedloading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 58/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$96.01
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$102–103
center $102.14 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$10.58
10.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.66×
52-week range$94.44 – $123.49
Below high since 2015-37.9% · $155.44 high
Risk / reward1.17 : 1
Plan stop$92.10
Max pain$100.00 options cluster
RSI 1430.3 washed out
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.5× fwd · 10.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past0th pctile · 12.3× median
Free cash flow yield8.4% · of market value

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
30.3
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$102.18
below the line
Bollinger
●
$95.37
no lower pierce · fires near $94.93
VWAP 20
✓
$100.69
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$96.01
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$100.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.42
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.66×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
7.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.95
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.83
ex-date 2026-10-01