Humana Inc. (HUM) — $378.35 −1.91%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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HUM fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 11, 2026 · 10:31 AM ETVol 178.0K · Avg 1.52M
HUMHumana Inc.$378.35-1.91%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+7net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 11 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.0× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$383.77
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$425–433
center $428.88 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$31.52
8.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.12× · 178.0K vs 1.52M avg
52-week range$163.11 – $428.88
Below high since 2015-34.2% · $586.42 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.0
Plan stop$352.51
Max pain
RSI 1454.1 fires under 35 · fires near $312.92
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$378.35
$310.81 · -17.9%-17.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.3% · $409.86+8.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
54.1
fires under 35 · fires near $312.92
vs 50-day
$375.45
at the line
Bollinger
$354.06
no lower pierce · fires near $348.80
VWAP 20
$382.21
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$383.77
below the model level
Put wall
$360.00
OI strike below · fires near $361.46
MACD
-1.19
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.12×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
4.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$15.63
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
6 Nov 2026
· in 86 days
Next dividend
0.94% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed