Humana Inc. (HUM) — Healthcare Plans. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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HUM fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:03 PM ETVol 1.94M · 3-mo avg 1.21M

Humana Inc. (HUM)

HUMHumana Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 11 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$392.25
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$425–432
center $428.88 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$25.59
6.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average2.00×
52-week range$163.11 – $428.88
Below high since 2015-32.1% · $586.42 high
Risk / reward0.92 : 1
Plan stop$364.21
Max pain$385.00 options cluster
RSI 1456.0 fires under 35 · fires near $360.95
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple24.0× fwd · 37.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past95th pctile · 20.9× median
Free cash flow yield0.8% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 4.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 45% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
56.0
fires under 35 · fires near $360.95
vs 50-day
●
$386.74
above the line · fires near $390.32
Bollinger
●
$369.99
no lower pierce · fires near $365.67
VWAP 20
●
$392.87
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $392.69
Entry level
●
$392.25
level below · fires near $396.09
Put wall
●
$375.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-1.59
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
2.00×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$14.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-06
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.89
ex-date 2026-10-30