Centene Corporation (CNC) — Healthcare Plans. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CNC fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 3.61M · 3-mo avg 4.66M

Centene Corporation (CNC)

CNCCentene Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 18/100 · as of 2026-09-24
Smart entry
$61.61
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$64–66
center $65.08 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.73
7.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.97×
52-week range$31.63 – $69.63
Below high since 2015-39.6% · $102.52 high
Risk / reward0.63 : 1
Plan stop$56.62
Max pain$65.00 options cluster
RSI 1440.0 fires under 35 · fires near $59.19
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple11.5× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield14.2% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
40.0
fires under 35 · fires near $59.19
vs 50-day
✓
$65.19
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$62.00
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$65.71
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$61.61
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$56.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.53
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.97×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.49
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file