Centene Corporation (CNC) — Healthcare Plans. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CNC fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 1.97M · 3-mo avg 4.72M

Centene Corporation (CNC)

CNCCentene Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$68.20
near a recent low, a support level and a heavy put-option level · Nov 9
$69–71
near a heavy call-option level, a resistance level and a round-number price · midpoint $70.04 · Nov 9
±$5.15
±7.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume37% below normal0.63× its 20-day average
Past year's range$31.63 – $78.08lowest to highest price
From its peak33.1% belowpeak $102.52, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.12 to 1$0.12 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$60.60the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$69.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)49.9fires under 35 · fires near $58.61
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit12.5× next year23.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 65%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 15.9×
Cash it generates12.7%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 49% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
49.9
fires under 35 · fires near $58.61
vs 50-day
●
$66.73
above the line · fires near $67.30
Bollinger
●
$65.26
no lower pierce · fires near $64.47
VWAP 20
✓
$70.16
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$68.20
level below · fires near $68.85
Put wall
●
$67.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-0.18
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.63×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.80
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-05
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file