Everything behind the call on GTLS. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Why the reads disagreeread this before the sections
0 factors lean up and 4 lean down and one side is clearly ahead. The net lands at -5 over 30d, a leaning reading on a dispersion of 0.00.
Leans down · and why
quality / value, insider flow, sentiment vote down. 4 of 4 families lean the other way.
What it changes
Size, not direction. dealers are short gamma, so swings get bigger both ways.
Global tape
No overseas listings — GTLS trades on its home exchange only.
The bottom linestart here
Wall Street rating
Hold
-3% to the average target
0% buy · 100% hold · 0% sell mean target $204
Valuation
22.1× forward
Against consensus earnings
5yr median 65× FCF yield 2.02%
Dividend
0.00%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
1 critical
5 checks run, 1 clear
worst drawdown 0%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
NYSE · USDSpecialty Industrial Machinery
$209.90-0.01 · 0.00%CLOSED · vol 1.27M
Tape 2026-07-16
01Ratios · Jul 7, 2026SOLVENCY IN QUESTION
Survival & solvency
Altman-Z of 1.7 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 1 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
1.73DISTRESS ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetJul 7, 2026
Piotroski F-scoreWATCH
F 5/9
Piotroski F-score 5 of 9. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Solvency and liquidity ratios
Current ratioshort-term assets against short-term bills1.36×healthy >2
Debt / equityborrowings against shareholder capital1.10
Leverage · long-term debt / total assetsthe share of everything the company owns that long-term borrowing funds0.37
Net debtborrowings in excess of cash on hand$3.20B
Free cash flow · TTMcash left after running and reinvesting in the business$10.10M
Your ownership stake
Share-count growth vs peersHIGH DILUTION
74th pctile
Where this name's share-count growth ranks among peers. Lower is less dilutive.
Net buyback yieldISSUING
0.00%
Buybacks less new issuance, as a share of market value.
Buyback yieldGROSS
0.00%
Repurchases as a share of market value, before new issuance is netted off.
Stock-based comp / revenueIN LINE
0.1%
Stock comp is the dilution pressure a buyback has to outrun. We read up to 5% of revenue as modest and above 12% as heavy — our own reading band, not a measured peer statistic.
SBC / operating cash flowFLAT
2%
How much of the cash the business generates is being handed to employees as stock. The higher it runs, the more of a buyback is just offsetting it.
Diluted vs basic share gapTHIN OVERHANG
0.60%
Options and awards already granted, expressed as the gap between the diluted and basic counts.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE D
50 / 100
1 critical · 3 watch · 1 clear of 5 scored tests
1 of 5 checks clear
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressCRITICALZ 1.73Altman-Z in the Distress · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationCLEARM -2.59M-score in range · fundamentals
Profitability qualityWATCHF 5/9Piotroski F-score 5 of 9 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsWATCH2 flags2 filing red flags on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 1 clear and 3 watch and 1 critical. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Nov 8, 2026POOR · 19/100
Business quality
1% net margin, 1% return on equity, +2% revenue growth, and capital earning 8% against a 7% cost.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
19 / 100POOR
Profitability · net margin 1%
Growth · revenue +2% YoY
Balance strength · debt/equity 1.10
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Nov 8, 2026
Net marginOF EVERY SALES DOLLAR
1.0%
The share of revenue that survives every cost and becomes profit.
Gross marginPRICING POWER
33.7%
What is left of a sales dollar before overhead — the clearest read on pricing power.
Operating marginAFTER RUNNING COSTS
14.6%
What survives the cost of running the whole business.
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
1.3%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
ROIC − WACC spreadCREATES VALUE
1.0pp
Earns 8% on invested capital that costs about 7%. A positive spread means every retained dollar compounds rather than leaks.
Incremental ROIC (3y)ON NEW CAPITAL
17.4%
The return on capital put to work over the last three years — a sharper read than the trailing average, because it prices the newest decisions.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month
+1.6%
3 months
+0.9%
6 months
+1.4%
Year to date
+1.8%
1 year
+27.3%
Revenue growth (YoY)GROWING
+2.5%
Revenue against the same period a year ago.
EPS growth (YoY)IN LINE
-92.7%
Earnings per share against a year ago. Running ahead of revenue means margins are widening.
cohort n=21,200 · this name's own n=8 · since 2000
Beat rate · this nameBEAT ≤2 OF THE LAST 8
2 of 8
Its own record against consensus. 8 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
n=8 measured prints
Fell after a beatP(FELL | BEAT)
8%
A beat is not a plan: this share of them still closed lower on the day.
n=12 beats — a conditional rate over its own denominator, not a share of all prints
Rose after a missP(ROSE | MISS)
50%
The mirror of the line above, over its own denominator.
n=12 misses
Typical earnings moveMEDIAN ABSOLUTE
±7.8%
Unsigned magnitudes from its own prints. Direction is not part of this read.
n=24 prints · p90 ±16.8% · worst 24.9% (2023-10-27)
Reaction: beat vs missSYMMETRIC
+7.7% / -1.2%
The average day-one move after a beat and after a miss. A miss dropping the stock further than a beat lifts it is the asymmetry worth sizing for.
n=12 beats · n=12 misses — each average over its own denominator
Dividends & income
Data unavailableThis company does not pay a dividend. There is no yield, payout ratio or ex-dividend date to show, and the return case rests entirely on capital gains.
Signal
Not an income position.
No dividend is declared, so nothing here contributes to total return except the price. That is a fact about the security, not a criticism of it.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Oct 13, 2026
Sideways
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%1,533,785
21d48%0.0%720,839
63d50%+0.1%226,963
slope +0.01 over 40 bars
Dragonfly doji · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d35%0.0%529,694
21d39%0.0%247,920
63d44%0.0%76,794
long lower shadow, open=close near high
Harami cross
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d45%0.0%242,342
21d46%0.0%113,940
63d47%-0.3%35,818
doji inside prior body
Double top · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%0.0%1,261,485
21d50%0.0%593,026
63d52%+0.4%187,344
two peaks ≈ equal — reversal if neckline breaks
Triple top · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d50%0.0%1,013,005
21d51%+0.1%475,568
63d53%+0.4%149,429
three peaks ≈ equal
Double bottom · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d48%0.0%1,293,438
21d49%0.0%607,588
63d51%+0.2%191,671
two troughs ≈ equal — reversal if neckline breaks
Triple bottom · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d48%0.0%1,001,589
21d49%0.0%470,024
63d52%+0.2%147,634
three troughs ≈ equal
Inverse head and shoulders · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d48%0.0%509,606
21d49%0.0%239,810
63d50%+0.1%76,130
low below two ≈-equal shoulders — bullish reversal
Ascending triangle · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d50%0.0%667,086
21d51%+0.1%313,950
63d53%+0.4%99,082
flat resistance, rising support
52w breakout · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d43%0.0%201,695
21d46%0.0%94,722
63d51%+0.2%29,671
at/near 52-week high
Near support · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d51%+0.1%558,624
21d52%+0.1%261,666
63d54%+0.4%81,681
testing recent support
0322.1× FORWARD
Price & timing
Price $209.90, 22.1× forward earnings, RSI 72, and dealers short gamma.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Momentum (RSI-14)
72OVERBOUGHT
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
The setup right now
Price · 504 sessions2024-07-12 → 2026-07-16
price50-day200-daylevel
How to read this
Down 0.00% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
The dashed levels are the strikes the options chain is most committed to. They are the same numbers the gamma block states; nothing here is drawn that no section derives.
Market cap$10.05B
Day range$209.90 – $209.90
Worst drawdown0.0%
MACDABOVE SIGNAL
+0.09
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Pivots (classic)R1 $210 · S1 $210
$209.90
The last settled session's range projected forward. Reference levels, not predictions — after a big gap they can sit on the wrong side of the price until the next close.
DeMark countdownFLAT SETUP
0 of 9
Counts consecutive closes against the prior trend. A completed 9 often marks exhaustion.
2026-11-10 · in 2 daysInflation (CPI)A scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Direction oddsnext 12m
46 / 53cohort n=3,635
A lean, not a forecast. These are the cohort's odds — comparable names over the window — not this stock's own history.
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.00× segment rate · n=46,172
Historically, large names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 66% of cases (n=46,172).
Signal
The odds lean, the stretch qualifies it.
Historically, names tripping 2 validated red flags finished lower 12 months later in 53% of cases (n=3,635) — a survivor-biased floor, not a forecast.
Valuation
Net cash per shareNET DEBT
$-65.88
Cash less every borrowing, per share. It is the part of the price that is not a claim on future profits.
Multiples
Forward P/Eearnings expected over the next 12 months22.1×5yr median 65×
Trailing P/EThe company lost money over the trailing year, so there are no earnings for the price to be a multiple of.Not meaningful
Price / salesprice against revenue, before any of it becomes profit2.4×5yr median 2.4×
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets3.1×
EV / EBITDAthe multiple an acquirer would pay22.0×
EV / free cash flowenterprise value against the cash the business throws off65.3×
FCF yieldfree cash flow per dollar of market value2.02%
2 of the 6 priced multiples above sit in the richer half of its band. 1 is marked not meaningful because the figure it divides into is negative — shown as absent rather than as a low, cheap-looking number. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timing
Data unavailableThis security is delisted, so there is no live tape to compose entry, target and stop against.
Gamma mapChain · Jul 27, 2026
Signal
Short gamma — moves get amplified.
Dealers hedge in the same direction as the move, so swings get bigger both ways rather than one. That argues for a smaller position size, not for a direction.
Dealer-hedging mechanics. Useful if you trade options; the takeaway above is what it means for the share price.
Options tapeLast snapshot before the 2026-08-21 expiry · Chain · Jul 27, 2026
Max pain-7.1%
$195.00
The strike where most open options would have expired worthless on the last snapshot. That expiry has passed; the next chain read replaces it.
Last snapshot before the 2026-08-21 expiry
Put / call ratio (OI)CALL-HEAVY
0.06
94% calls
6% puts
Open interest in puts against calls. Heavy call interest often caps how far price can run before expiry.
Put / call ratio (volume)TODAY'S FLOW
1.30
Today's traded flow rather than the standing position. It moves faster and means less.
Expected move (1-week)≈ $0.00
±0.0%
What the chain prices for the week. A range the market is charging for, not a forecast.
of the chain spot $209.90
Largest open interest · front expiry
StrikeTypeOpen interest
$210.00CALL413
$165.00PUT18
$220.00CALL5
$185.00PUT5
$200.00CALL4
$195.00CALL2
Large call interest above the price acts as a magnet and a ceiling; large put interest below is a floor of hedges. The biggest strike is the level the market is most committed to defending into the next expiry.
Open interest by strikeexpires 2026-08-21 (expired)CallsPutsMax pain $195.00
5
$220.00
0413
$210.00
14
$200.00
12
$195.00
10
$190.00
11
$185.00
50
$180.00
00
$165.00
18
The shaded row is the strike nearest the price. Heavy call interest above acts as a ceiling; heavy put interest below is a floor of hedges.
↑ Call wall$210.000.0%Heaviest call open interest on the front expiry.Acts as a ceiling into expiry; a close above usually needs a catalyst.
◇ Max pain$195.00-7.1%Where most open options expire worthless.Price often drifts toward it into the close of the expiry week.
↓ Put wall$165.00-21.4%Heaviest put open interest — a floor of hedges.Dealer buying tends to build as price approaches.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL -5
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 105%, short interest is 9.77% of float, and 1 analysts average $204.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
-5LEANING · 30d
Quality / value -2
Insider flow -1
Sentiment -1
Risk flags -1
0 bull / 4 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Insider flow120D · TIMING
-1
net insider selling ($27,135,360 across 25 sells) in 120d
Independent factors scored and netted to -5 over 30d, a leaning reading. 4 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category readSep 16, 2026
Signal
4 of 4 families lean down.
Descriptive only — a decorrelated read of where the evidence agrees and conflicts, not a forecast and not advice. Patterns are condition lists, not outcome predictions, and are not yet validated to the proof bar. Dispersion of 0.00 means the disagreement is real but not a split decision.
A check on whether independent evidence families agree, rather than a second score.
Wall Street1 covering firms
Consensus rating1 ANALYSTS
Hold
0% buy · 100% hold · 0% sell, as a share of the 1 covering firms.
Mean price target-3%
$204
$169now $210$212
A $169–$212 spread across the panel. A twelve-month view, and a wide spread means real disagreement rather than a consensus.
Forward EPS estimateCONSENSUS
$9.51
What the panel expects the company to earn per share.
next year · 4 analysts
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipINSTITUTIONALLY HELD
104.8%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
0.6%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)LIGHT
9.77%
The share of the tradable float sold short.
Free float99% OF SHARES
47.61M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)93rd PCTILE
$263.33M/day
At this depth, position size is not a constraint for a retail account.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved on Nov 6, 2026NONE
0.00%
GTLS was little changed +0.00% since the last close — no notable catalyst, and the move itself was modest.
Matched · Nov 6, 2026
News tone · 7-day—
33 / 100
Headline polarity over the window, scored from news articles. Above 60 leans positive, below 40 negative. Colour, not a signal.
Oct 17GTLS261120C00240000 interactive stock chart | GTLS Nov 2026 240.000 call stock - Yahoo Finance UKYahoo Finance UKnot scored
Oct 15GTLS Q1 2026 Earnings: Reported Loss of $0.35 Per Share Falls Far Short of Consensus - ROIC Trend Report - www.dars.gov.etwww.dars.gov.etnot scored
Coverage published around the move, newest first. Nothing here measures causation — only the why-it-moved card above is matched to the tape by timestamp.
CongressSTOCK Act · 30–45d lag
Signal
Net selling.
2 of 6 disclosures are buys and 4 are sales. Lawmakers disclose on a 30–45 day legal lag, so this describes what was done weeks ago, not what is being done now.
Disclosed lawmaker trades, with their legal reporting lag.
0512 graded calls
Risk & track record
a 0% worst drawdown, and 2 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
Max drawdown
0.0%WORST FALL
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
What votes againstNightly
MedQuality / valueAltman-Z in the distress zoneTTM · -2
LowInsider flownet insider selling ($27,135,360 across 25 sells) in 120d120d · -1
Ranked by the size of each factor's own point contribution to the net signal — these are the model's stated reasons, not a written bear case. Each one is scored from the source named beside it.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as growth, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Avoid score6-month distress
0.6%0.1× its cohort · most-traded mega-caps
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this most-traded mega-caps segment: 9.3%. This name reads 0.1× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
LowPosition sizeThe sizing model has not covered this name, so no defensible cap is published for it.Not scored
LowLottery-ticket behaviourNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowPost-earnings driftNo measured earnings reaction on file, so the drift surface is unmeasured.Not scored
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
2 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 2 clear. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You want income
A 0.00% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
Our track record12 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
37 logged
37 calls logged on this name, 12 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
+107.8% per +1ppMEASURED
Measured against the 10-year yield: a one-point move in the yield has come with about a 107.8% move here, independent of company news.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
6268.TPeerJPY 3,729.00-8.04%
6135.TPeerJPY 2,529.00-5.42%
GEVPeer$774.11+0.47%
SMEGFPeer$129.50+3.67%
SMERYPeer$25.98+2.32%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
That is the definition of a stock that has already worked, and it says nothing about the next window. What it does tell you is what a drawdown would be measured against.
Historical retrospective. Context, not a forecast.
Macro driversRolling window
Next macro catalystIN 2 DAYS
Inflation (CPI)
2026-11-10. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
The weekly count of people newly filing for unemployment benefits.
No documented read for this sector
On the day 0.0% · A week later +0.5% · Two weeks later +1.0% · Rose on 79 of 160 report days
Across the last 160 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, GTLS moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 1.0% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
The University of Michigan's survey of how consumers feel about the economy.
No documented read for this sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later +0.6% · Two weeks later +0.1% · Rose on 19 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Consumer sentiment (UMich) reports since Jun 26, 2023, GTLS moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 0.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
The Fed's preferred inflation measure without food and energy, the one its target is written against.
No documented read for this sector
On the day +1.0% · A week later -0.8% · Two weeks later +0.8% · Rose on 18 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Jun 28, 2023, GTLS moved +1.0% on average on the day and was 0.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
The Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision, made eight times a year.
No documented read for this sector
On the day -0.6% · A week later -2.1% · Two weeks later +0.2% · Rose on 13 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 FOMC decision reports since Jul 1, 2023, GTLS moved -0.6% on average on the day and was 0.2% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
On the day 0.0% · A week later +0.3% · Two weeks later -0.5% · Rose on 19 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Housing starts reports since Jun 20, 2023, GTLS moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 0.5% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
The monthly measure of factory, mine and utility output.
No documented read for this sector
On the day +0.7% · A week later +1.1% · Two weeks later +2.0% · Rose on 22 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Industrial production reports since Jun 15, 2023, GTLS moved +0.7% on average on the day and was 2.0% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, published monthly.
No documented read for this sector
On the day +1.0% · A week later -0.8% · Two weeks later +0.8% · Rose on 18 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 PCE inflation reports since Jun 28, 2023, GTLS moved +1.0% on average on the day and was 0.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
The monthly report on prices businesses charge each other, which shows up in shop prices later.
No documented read for this sector
On the day +0.7% · A week later +1.7% · Two weeks later +1.7% · Rose on 26 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Producer prices (PPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, GTLS moved +0.7% on average on the day and was 1.7% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Customer momentumJul 21, 2026
Customer momentumMID
-0.7%
The dependency-weighted trailing return of the customers this company discloses a revenue dependence on. Their tape leads its orders.
1 customers priced · 21-bar window
Lead-lag gapAHEAD OF CUSTOMERS
+2.3%
This company's own move less its customers' weighted move. A wide gap in either direction usually closes.
Disclosed customer dependencies
CustomerRevenue weightWindow returnLast filed
LIN11.9%-0.7%2021-03-01 · stale
Weights are as disclosed in the filings, so they describe the last reported period rather than today. Historical, point-in-time backtest of a cross-sectional screen (135 months, 2013-2026), gross of trading costs. The equal-weighted base effect is marginal (t 1.84); statistical significance relies on the dependency weighting (t 2.02). Validated on monthly rebalancing; served daily on the same 21-bar horizon. This is a research screen describing a group-level historical spread - not a forecast of any individual stock's return.
Connections4 links · 1 confirmed
Direct connections · 4 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
LIN · Suppliersupplier-1.15%Confirmed · 10K
RS · Suppliersupplier+0.71%Rumored · manual
GE · Customercustomer+2.70%Rumored · manual
CAT · Competitorcompetitor+0.90%Rumored · manual
1 of 4 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.