Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) — $9.83 −0.81%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

GOpeers & supply-chain relationships

GO fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.32M · Avg 2.85M
GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.$9.83-0.81%Pre-market$9.26-5.83%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$9.78
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$19–20
center $19.41 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.72
17.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~85% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.17× · 3.32M vs 2.85M avg
52-week range$5.66 – $19.23
Below high since 2019-79.3% · $47.59 high
Risk / reward1 : 12.0
Plan stop$8.98
Max pain$1.00 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1456.2 fires under 35 · fires near $8.32
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$9.83
$8.11 · -17.5%-17.5%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+17.5% · $11.55+17.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
56.2
fires under 35 · fires near $8.32
vs 50-day
$9.46
above the line · fires near $9.55
Bollinger
$8.84
no lower pierce · fires near $8.72
VWAP 20
$9.47
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $9.46
Entry level
$9.78
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$9.00
OI strike below · fires near $9.04
MACD
+0.05
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.17×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
33.5%
33.5% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.40
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
12 Aug 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 0 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
Appears in
prices 15-min delayed