Gerdau S.A. (GGB) — Steel Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

GGBpeers & supply-chain relationships

GGB fair-value estimate

GGB earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 10.89M · 3-mo avg 13.87M

Gerdau S.A. (GGB)

GGBGerdau S.A.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
-3net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
loading…
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$5.06
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 2.8% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$5.19
center $5.19 · basis · daily pivot + high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.84×
52-week range$3.03 – $5.18
Below high since 2015-13.6% · $5.90 high
Risk / reward0.29 : 1
Plan stop$4.62
Max pain
RSI 1459.8 fires under 35 · fires near $3.72
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple8.5× fwd · 22.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past95th pctile · 4.6× median
Free cash flow yield11.6% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 3.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 35% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
59.8
fires under 35 · fires near $3.72
vs 50-day
$4.76
above the line · fires near $4.80
Bollinger
$4.19
no lower pierce · fires near $4.08
VWAP 20
$4.77
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $4.77
Entry level
$5.06
below the model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
+0.02
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.18
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-26
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
3.66% yld
no ex-date on file