Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) — $15.85 −3.18%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

FUNpeers & supply-chain relationships

FUN fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 3.57M · Avg 2.25M
FUNSix Flags Entertainment Corporation$15.85-3.18%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$15.77
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$18.17
center $18.17 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.31
8.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 21% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 21% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs 20-day avg1.59× · 3.57M vs 2.25M avg
52-week range$12.51 – $27.37
Below high since 2015-78.2% · $72.66 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.1
Plan stop$13.51
Max pain
RSI 1436.5 fires under 35 · fires near $15.43
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$15.85
$13.87 · -12.5%-12.5%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.2% · $17.16+8.2%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
36.5
fires under 35 · fires near $15.43
vs 50-day
$20.05
below the line
Bollinger
$15.77
no lower pierce · fires near $15.74
VWAP 20
$17.36
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$15.77
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$15.00
OI strike below · fires near $15.07
MACD
+0.18
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.59×
elevated versus recent average
Short int.Static
22.0%
22.0% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$1.13
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 84 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed