Games Workshop Group PLC (GMWKF) — Leisure & Recreation. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GMWKF fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 100 · 3-mo avg 253

Games Workshop Group PLC (GMWKF)

GMWKFGames Workshop Group PLCloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 22/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$237.81
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$252–259
center $255.42 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 7% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 7% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.71×
52-week range$185.00 – $300.00
Below high since 2023-20.3% · $300.00 high
Risk / reward0.58 : 1
Plan stop$210.57
Max pain—
RSI 1444.9 fires under 35 · fires near $221.64
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple29.1× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield2.6% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 3.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
44.9
fires under 35 · fires near $221.64
vs 50-day
✓
$255.93
below the line
Bollinger
●
$231.33
no lower pierce · fires near $229.47
VWAP 20
✓
$242.56
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$237.81
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.14
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.71×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$13.62
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-12
in 74 sessions
Next dividend
2.32% yld
no ex-date on file