Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH) — $42.46 −3.08%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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LTH fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.94M · Avg 2.94M
LTHLife Time Group Holdings, Inc.$42.46-3.08%Pre-market$42.71+0.59%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$42.25
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$47–48
center $47.24 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.28
12.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~85% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg2.36× · 6.94M vs 2.94M avg
52-week range$24.14 – $47.24
Below high since 2021-10.1% · $47.24 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.4
Plan stop$38.78
Max pain$25.00 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1450.0 fires under 35 · fires near $37.74
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$42.46
$37.18 · -12.4%-12.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+12.4% · $47.74+12.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
50.0
fires under 35 · fires near $37.74
vs 50-day
$39.56
above the line · fires near $39.89
Bollinger
$40.74
no lower pierce · fires near $40.32
VWAP 20
$43.78
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$42.25
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$45.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
-0.38
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
2.36×
elevated versus recent average
Short int.Static
6.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.74
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
3 Nov 2026
· in 83 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed