Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:32 PM ETVol 277.1K · 3-mo avg 1.20M

Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT)

FRPTFreshpet, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$66.91
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9 · price is already 2.1% below it
$82–83
near a heavy call-option level · midpoint $82.50 · Nov 9
±$0.02
±0.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume18% below normal0.82× its 20-day average
Past year's range$46.45 – $86.00lowest to highest price
From its peak64.9% belowpeak $192.05, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.30 to 1$2.30 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$60.14the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$70.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)53.6fires under 35 · fires near $54.07
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit33.3× next year17.3× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 23%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 78.3×
Cash it generates0.4%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
53.6
fires under 35 · fires near $54.07
vs 50-day
●
$64.47
above the line · fires near $65.08
Bollinger
●
$62.30
no lower pierce · fires near $61.61
VWAP 20
✓
$66.91
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$66.91
below the model level
Put wall
✓
$70.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+1.00
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.82×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
16.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.06
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-22
in 69 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file