Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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FRPTpeers & supply-chain relationships

FRPT fair-value estimate

FRPT earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 10:00 AM ETVol 1.04M · 3-mo avg 1.30M

Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT)

FRPTFreshpet, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 68/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$57.62
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$66–67
center $66.10 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.30
9.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.96×
52-week range$46.45 – $86.00
Below high since 2015-69.8% · $192.05 high
Risk / reward1.68 : 1
Plan stop$53.02
Max pain$67.50 options cluster
RSI 1424.4 oversold
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple29.4× fwd · 15.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past8th pctile · 83.3× median
Free cash flow yield0.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 84% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
24.4
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$65.86
below the line
Bollinger
●
$55.92
no lower pierce · fires near $55.33
VWAP 20
✓
$65.00
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$57.62
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$55.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.95
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.96×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
16.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.30
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-02
in 26 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file