First Merchants Corporation (FRME) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 754.5K · 3-mo avg 457.5K

First Merchants Corporation (FRME)

FRMEFirst Merchants Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 2/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$40.51
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$41.95
center $41.95 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.85
7.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.59× the norm · 33% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.52×
52-week range$34.66 – $45.33
Below high since 2015-20.6% · $51.24 high
Risk / reward0.73 : 1
Plan stop$39.02
Max pain$45.00 options cluster
RSI 1444.2 fires under 35 · fires near $39.63
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple9.0× fwd · 13.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past82nd pctile · 11.0× median
Price / book1.03×

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 49% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
44.2
fires under 35 · fires near $39.63
vs 50-day
✓
$41.97
below the line
Bollinger
●
$40.11
no lower pierce · fires near $39.96
VWAP 20
✓
$41.04
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$40.51
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$45.00
2026-12-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.06
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.52×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.75
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-21
in 19 sessions
Next dividend
3.64% yld
no ex-date on file