Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) — Biotechnology. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.03M · 3-mo avg 4.51M

Erasca, Inc. (ERAS)

ERASErasca, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-4net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 1 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 4/100 · Nov 6
$14.33
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$15.02
near a resistance level, a round-number price, the 200-day average, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $15.02 · Nov 6
±$2.87
±19.9% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume13% below normal0.87× its 20-day average
Past year's range$2.21 – $24.28lowest to highest price
From its peak40.7% belowpeak $24.29, highest since 2021
Gain vs. risk0.27 to 1$0.27 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$12.12the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$15.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)48.1fires under 35 · fires near $12.46
Price vs. profitno profit to compare
Cash it generates-2.1%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 8.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Drawdown risk — high
RSI 14
●
48.1
fires under 35 · fires near $12.46
vs 50-day
✓
$15.08
below the line
Bollinger
●
$13.36
no lower pierce · fires near $13.13
VWAP 20
✓
$14.53
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$14.33
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
0.00
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.87×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
17.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.11
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-11
in 3 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file