Diageo plc (DEO) — Wineries & Distilleries. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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DEOpeers & supply-chain relationships

DEO fair-value estimate

DEO earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.36M · 3-mo avg 1.08M

Diageo plc (DEO)

DEODiageo plcloading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~11% smaller swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$99.26
near a support level · Nov 6
$101–103
near the 52-week high · midpoint $102.15 · Nov 6
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume7% above normal1.07× its 20-day average
Past year's range$72.45 – $102.74lowest to highest price
From its peak55.5% belowpeak $224.07, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.42 to 1$0.42 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$94.01the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)65.0fires under 35 · fires near $78.63
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit13.9× next year32.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 88%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 18.6×
Cash it generates4.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
65.0
fires under 35 · fires near $78.63
vs 50-day
●
$89.26
above the line · fires near $89.94
Bollinger
●
$87.74
no lower pierce · fires near $86.71
VWAP 20
●
$94.70
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $94.65
Entry level
✓
$99.26
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.53
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.07×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.63
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 60 sessions
Next dividend
2.00% yld
no ex-date on file