Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-A) — Wineries & Distilleries. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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BF-Apeers & supply-chain relationships

BF-A fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 187.5K · 3-mo avg 153.6K

Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-A)

BF-ABrown-Forman Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 24/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
model abstained · delisted
Target exit
model abstained · delisted
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.87
14.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 2% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 68% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 2% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.21×
52-week range$23.01 – $31.14
Below high since 2023-63.0% · $72.65 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop
Max pain$25.00 options cluster
RSI 1445.6 fires under 35 · fires near $25.41
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple17.5× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield7.2% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
45.6
fires under 35 · fires near $25.41
vs 50-day
$27.50
below the line
Bollinger
$25.71
no lower pierce · fires near $25.41
VWAP 20
$27.30
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
not on file
Put wall
$15.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.17
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.21×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.78
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-12-03
in 55 sessions
Next dividend
3.43% yld
no ex-date on file
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