Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-A) — Wineries & Distilleries. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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BF-Apeers & supply-chain relationships

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 173.3K · 3-mo avg 140.7K

Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-A)

BF-ABrown-Forman Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$31.31
near a support level · Nov 6
$32.13
near the top of its usual range, a resistance level and the 52-week high · midpoint $32.13 · Nov 6
±$2.21
±7.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume29% above normal1.29× its 20-day average
Past year's range$23.01 – $32.32lowest to highest price
From its peak56.7% belowpeak $72.65, highest since 2023
Gain vs. risk0.28 to 1$0.28 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$29.10the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$30.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)63.4fires under 35 · fires near $24.24
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.3× last 12 months
Cash it generates6.2%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 39% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
63.4
fires under 35 · fires near $24.24
vs 50-day
●
$27.93
above the line · fires near $28.13
Bollinger
●
$27.16
no lower pierce · fires near $26.80
VWAP 20
●
$29.51
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $29.50
Entry level
✓
$31.31
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$30.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.20
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.29×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.07
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-03
in 18 sessions
Next dividend
2.92% yld
no ex-date on file