Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) — Wineries & Distilleries. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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BF-B fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.54M · 3-mo avg 2.46M

Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B)

BF-BBrown-Forman Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$30.43
near a support level · Nov 6
$31–32
near the 52-week high · midpoint $31.64 · Nov 6
±$2.05
±6.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume11% below normal0.89× its 20-day average
Past year's range$22.61 – $31.92lowest to highest price
From its peak57.1% belowpeak $71.27, highest since 2023
Gain vs. risk0.46 to 1$0.46 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$28.30the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$27.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)62.4fires under 35 · fires near $23.71
Price vs. profit17.8× next year19.7× last 12 months
Cash it generates6.4%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 29% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
62.4
fires under 35 · fires near $23.71
vs 50-day
●
$27.34
above the line · fires near $27.52
Bollinger
●
$26.63
no lower pierce · fires near $26.29
VWAP 20
●
$28.78
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $28.74
Entry level
✓
$30.43
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.19
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.89×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
9.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.06
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-03
in 18 sessions
Next dividend
3.01% yld
no ex-date on file