CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) — Security & Protection Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:32 PM ETVol 876.3K · 3-mo avg 1.85M

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)

CXWCoreCivic, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+7net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 8 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 80/100 · was 89 on Nov 5 · Nov 91/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$29.68
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$32–33
near the top of its usual range, a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $32.44 · Nov 9
±$0.03
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Elevated
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume101% above normal2.01× its 20-day average
Past year's range$15.74 – $36.55lowest to highest price
From its peak30.1% belowpeak $42.65, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.32 to 1$0.32 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$26.71the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$36.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)44.8fires under 35 · fires near $29.09
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit12.8× next year24.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 68%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 20.4×
Cash it generates1.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
44.8
fires under 35 · fires near $29.09
vs 50-day
✓
$32.24
below the line
Bollinger
●
$28.01
no lower pierce · fires near $27.51
VWAP 20
●
$30.27
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $30.25
Entry level
●
$29.68
level below · fires near $29.97
Put wall
✓
$36.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-0.03
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
2.01×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
13.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.49
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-10
in 62 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file