CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) — Security & Protection Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 10:22 AM ETVol 2.70M · 3-mo avg 1.59M

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)

CXWCoreCivic, Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+6net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 36/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$33.54
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24 · price is 4.2% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$36–37
center $36.55 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.23
7.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.31×
52-week range$15.74 – $36.55
Below high since 2015-19.4% · $42.65 high
Risk / reward0.80 : 1
Plan stop$29.81
Max pain$35.00 options cluster
RSI 1444.8 fires under 35 · fires near $29.17
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple13.9× fwd · 26.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past71st pctile · 20.0× median
Free cash flow yield1.7% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 6.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
44.8
fires under 35 · fires near $29.17
vs 50-day
✓
$32.80
below the line
Bollinger
●
$32.11
no lower pierce · fires near $32.11
VWAP 20
✓
$34.14
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$33.54
below the model level
Put wall
✓
$35.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.29
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.31×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
15.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file