MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) — Security & Protection Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 597.6K · 3-mo avg 255.9K

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA)

MSAMSA Safety Incorporatedloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 35/100 · Nov 6
$169.29
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$176–179
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $177.21 · Nov 6
±$10.77
±6.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 6% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 6% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume103% above normal2.03× its 20-day average
Past year's range$152.86 – $208.92lowest to highest price
From its peak18.6% belowpeak $208.92, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.58 to 1$0.58 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$157.94the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$175.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)38.2fires under 35 · fires near $166.44
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit17.0× next year21.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 6%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 27.3×
Cash it generates4.5%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
38.2
fires under 35 · fires near $166.44
vs 50-day
✓
$181.29
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$171.22
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$178.32
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$169.29
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-1.09
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
2.03×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.67
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-11
in 65 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.54
ex-date 2026-11-13