ADT Inc. (ADT) — Security & Protection Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ADTpeers & supply-chain relationships

ADT fair-value estimate

ADT earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 14.81M · 3-mo avg 12.11M

ADT Inc. (ADT)

ADTADT Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 8 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$9.81
near a support level · Nov 6
$10.00
near a heavy call-option level, the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $10.00 · Nov 6
±$0.26
±2.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
96% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume34% below normal0.66× its 20-day average
Past year's range$6.03 – $10.00lowest to highest price
From its peak42.3% belowpeak $17.09, highest since 2018
Gain vs. risk0.17 to 1$0.17 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$9.05the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$8.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)86.6overbought
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.1× next year13.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 72%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 10.4×
Cash it generates17.5%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 28% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
86.6
overbought
vs 50-day
●
$7.21
above the line · fires near $7.21
Bollinger
●
$4.97
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$9.19
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $9.17
Entry level
✓
$9.81
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$2.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.28
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.66×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.32
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-03-01
in 76 sessions
Next dividend
2.23% yld
no ex-date on file
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