ADT Inc. (ADT) — Security & Protection Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ADTpeers & supply-chain relationships

ADT fair-value estimate

ADT earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.07M · 3-mo avg 7.78M

ADT Inc. (ADT)

ADTADT Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$6.96
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$7.20
center $7.20 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.48
6.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 3% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 3% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.12×
52-week range$6.24 – $8.89
Below high since 2018-59.1% · $17.09 high
Risk / reward0.57 : 1
Plan stop$6.59
Max pain$7.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.9 fires under 35 · fires near $6.85
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple7.2× fwd · 9.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past15th pctile · 10.4× median
Free cash flow yield24.7% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 41% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
38.9
fires under 35 · fires near $6.85
vs 50-day
$7.21
below the line
Bollinger
$6.91
no lower pierce · fires near $6.89
VWAP 20
$7.26
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$6.96
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$6.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.04
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.12×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.15
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 35 sessions
Next dividend
3.15% yld
no ex-date on file
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