Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) — Integrated Oil & Gas. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.70M · 3-mo avg 6.96M

Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE)

CVECenovus Energy Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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$27.45
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$31–32
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $31.74 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 13% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 13% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume16% above normal1.16× its 20-day average
Past year's range$15.63 – $34.16lowest to highest price
From its peak19.2% belowpeak $34.16, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.60 to 1$1.60 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$24.99the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)30.7washed out
Price vs. profit7.8× next year10.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 36%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 11.7×
Cash it generates6.4%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
30.7
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$31.81
below the line
Bollinger
●
$27.49
no lower pierce · fires near $27.45
VWAP 20
✓
$31.04
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$27.45
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.61
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.16×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$1.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-18
in 68 sessions
Next dividend
2.28% yld
no ex-date on file
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