Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (CBSH) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CBSHpeers & supply-chain relationships

CBSH earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:31 PM ETVol 214.1K · 3-mo avg 967.2K

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (CBSH)

CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$55.75
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$60–61
near the 52-week high · midpoint $60.63 · Nov 9
±$0.12
±0.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Low
32% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.6× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume24% above normal1.24× its 20-day average
Past year's range$46.99 – $60.92lowest to highest price
From its peak19.1% belowpeak $69.29, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.55 to 1$1.55 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$53.19the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$50.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)53.0fires under 35 · fires near $53.22
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit12.3× next year13.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 20%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 14.9×

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 54% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
53.0
fires under 35 · fires near $53.22
vs 50-day
✓
$56.06
at the line
Bollinger
●
$54.36
no lower pierce · fires near $54.14
VWAP 20
●
$55.54
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $55.51
Entry level
✓
$55.75
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$50.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.06
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.24×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-21
in 48 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.28
ex-date 2026-12-01