Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 9.66M · 3-mo avg 11.57M

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG)

CAGConagra Brands, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$15.16
near a recent low, a support level, the 200-day average and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$15–16
near the top of its usual range, a heavy call-option level and a resistance level · midpoint $15.46 · Nov 6
±$1.15
±7.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume5% below normal0.95× its 20-day average
Past year's range$12.53 – $20.32lowest to highest price
From its peak68.4% belowpeak $48.23, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.16 to 1$0.16 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$13.86the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$15.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)59.7fires under 35 · fires near $11.82
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.2× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 18.6×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates17.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 33% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
59.7
fires under 35 · fires near $11.82
vs 50-day
●
$14.40
above the line · fires near $14.52
Bollinger
●
$13.19
no lower pierce · fires near $12.95
VWAP 20
●
$14.34
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $14.32
Entry level
✓
$15.16
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$14.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context✓
+0.16
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.95×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.56
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-18
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
4.59% yld
no ex-date on file