Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CAGpeers & supply-chain relationships

CAG fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 3.80M · 3-mo avg 15.74M

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG)

CAGConagra Brands, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$15.10
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$15.35
center $15.35 · basis · daily pivot + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.76
5.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.75×
52-week range$12.53 – $20.32
Below high since 2015-68.5% · $48.23 high
Risk / reward0.18 : 1
Plan stop$14.21
Max pain$15.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.3 fires under 35 · fires near $14.20
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple9.6× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield18.1% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
47.3
fires under 35 · fires near $14.20
vs 50-day
$15.12
at the line
Bollinger
$14.42
no lower pierce · fires near $14.23
VWAP 20
$15.62
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$15.10
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$13.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.19
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.75×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
9.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.39
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-09-30
in 9 sessions
Next dividend
8.11% yld
no ex-date on file
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