Bunzl plc (BZLFY) — $19.17 −1.34%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

BZLFYpeers & supply-chain relationships

BZLFY fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 16.1K · Avg 62.1K
BZLFYBunzl plc$19.17-1.34%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$19.07
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$19–20
center $19.50 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~58% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.26× · 16.1K vs 62.1K avg
52-week range$13.32 – $19.17
Below high since 2023-22.0% · $24.57 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.9
Plan stop$18.60
Max pain
RSI 1466.2 fires under 35 · fires near $17.12
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$19.17
$17.04 · -11.1%-11.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+2.5% · $19.64+2.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
66.2
fires under 35 · fires near $17.12
vs 50-day
$17.76
above the line · fires near $17.90
Bollinger
$18.04
no lower pierce · fires near $17.93
VWAP 20
$18.60
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $18.60
Entry level
$19.07
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
-0.05
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.26×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.24
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
1 Sep 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 20 days
Next dividend
2.61% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed