Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. (AXSM) — Biotechnology. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 838.2K · 3-mo avg 822.8K

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. (AXSM)

AXSMAxsome Therapeutics, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 39/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$194.11
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$197–202
center $199.31 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$12.25
6.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.37×
52-week range$115.31 – $260.19
Below high since 2015-25.0% · $260.19 high
Risk / reward0.19 : 1
Plan stop$173.28
Max pain$220.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.2 fires under 35 · fires near $189.73
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple39.1× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-0.9% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
38.2
fires under 35 · fires near $189.73
vs 50-day
✓
$214.29
below the line
Bollinger
●
$191.95
no lower pierce · fires near $190.96
VWAP 20
✓
$207.27
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$194.11
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$200.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.25
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.37×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.97
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-02
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file