Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) — $138.66 +5.03%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

APOpeers & supply-chain relationships

APO fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 1.14M · Avg 4.07M
APOApollo Global Management, Inc.$138.66+5.03%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 2 accounting red flags are raised — the quality screen fails at any price. delisted — there is no entry price on file yet.

QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
0 of 5 aligned — not yet
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.7× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
model abstained · delisted
Target exit
model abstained · delisted
Implied move · 1 wk
±$10.54
7.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.28× · 1.14M vs 4.07M avg
52-week range$99.56 – $153.29
Below high since 2015-30.3% · $189.49 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop
Max pain
RSI 1461.1 fires under 35 · fires near $117.87
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$138.66
$110.93 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+7.6% · $149.20+7.6%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers0 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
61.1
fires under 35 · fires near $117.87
vs 50-day
$125.42
above the line · fires near $126.36
Bollinger
$114.65
no lower pierce · fires near $114.92
VWAP 20
$123.78
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $123.76
Entry level
not on file
Put wall
$119.00
OI strike below · fires near $119.43
MACD
+1.49
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.28×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
5.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
3 Nov 2026
· in 83 days
Next dividend
USD 0.56
ex-date 2026-08-19
prices 15-min delayed